The U.S. market for windows and doors is forecast to increase slightly to $35.9 billion in 2026, according to The Freedonia Group’s U.S. Windows & Doors study, which forecasts out to 2026. Commercial window and door demand is projected to reach $13.8 billion, while demand for residential windows and doors is projected at $22.0 billion in 2026. In unit terms, demand is projected to increase at 1.6% CAGR, supported by a rebound in office and lodging construction, consumer upgrades to more energy-efficient products, and current design trends for more and larger windows and larger, more costly entry doors.

An earlier study by Freedonia forecast the global window and door market to rise 3.8% per year to $244 billion in 2025; windows are projected to reach $125 billion at a CAGR of 3.9%. Demand will be driven by increased interest in large casement windows and skylights, along with a desire for more energy-efficient products. New construction will help drive the door market.

Click on the infographic to enlarge. Find more market data in the December 2023 FDMC Wood Industry Almanac.

Quick Stats (Includes items not shown in print.)
• Forecasts by the Fenestration and Glazing Industry Alliance (FGIA) show U.S. demand for residential windows in new construction to drop 7% in 2023, before rebounding 5% and 4% in 2024 and 2025 respectively. The residential door market, also down in 2023, should see some growth in 2024 and 2025. The commercial window market is forecast to rise 4% in 2023, flat in 2024 and decline 3% in 2025. Commercial doors are expected to see a recovery in 2023, with minor declines projected for 2024 and 2025.

• According to WDMA/Farnsworth Group research, shipments of sliding and hinged patio doors experienced growth in 2023.

• Consumers can recover 63% of the cost for wood windows, and 67% for vinyl, per the 2022 Remodeling Impact Report by the National Association of the Remodeling Industry (NARI) and the National Association of Realtors Research Group.

• Although 41% U.S. and 33% Canadian consumers “shopped” online, according to research by TraQline (Home Improvement Research Institute), 51% of U.S. consumers purchased their windows in-store, 14% online, and 35% “other.” Similarly, in Canada, 53% of purchases were in-store, 11% online and 36% “other.”

• The WDMA and Fenestration Canada have announced a formal agreement to cooperate in a number of areas for the mutual benefit of their members, including cross-border policy issues.

Market Data Sources: The Freedonia Group, Window & Door Manufacturers Assn., Farnsworth Group, TraQline, Home Improvement Research Institute (HIRI), Fenestration and Glazing Industry Alliance (FGIA), U.S. Census Bureau USA Trade data, Statistics Canada, National Association of the Remodeling Industry (NARI), National Association of Realtors, Fenestration Canada. Category: Windows & doors include: wood/metal/vinyl clad windows, architectural, interior & exterior doors, related components.

More data on North American woodworking and the specific wood product market segments can be found in the December 2023 FDMC Wood Industry Almanac. Also, find market data year-round at WoodworkingNetwork.com/news/almanac-market-data.